Blog & Resources

Economic Risk Monitor – 2024 Q1

We once again find ourselves reversing our position on the overall direction of the economy for 2024, as the resilience of consumer activity drives surprisingly strong output growth that appears to be sustainable.

The Swiss Army Knives of Credit Unions: The Crucial Role of Risk Professionals

In the landscape of the financial services industry, credit unions serve as pillars of trust, stability and support for their members. Amidst the ever-evolving challenges and uncertainties credit unions face, risk professionals play a pivotal and critical role. While...

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q4

“The only constant is change” is a quote that is mistakenly attributed to the Greek philosopher Heraclitus, but the misattribution doesn’t make the axiom any less true.

Economic Risk Monitor – 2022 Q4

Economic Risk Monitor – 2022 Q4

As we enter 2023, the U.S. economy is still beset by high inflation, and the Fed’s policy response threatens to stall economic growth. A housing correction is fully underway, and there are continuing signs of cracks in an otherwise apparently robust labor market.

Economic Risk Monitor – 2022 Q3

Economic Risk Monitor – 2022 Q3

Headwinds are on the economic horizon, fueled by uncontrolled inflation, rapidly rising interest rates, a housing market correction, and signs of emerging labor market weakness.

As Housing Goes, So Goes The Economy

As Housing Goes, So Goes The Economy

Those words, uttered by President George H. W. Bush in 1992, may be a harbinger of things to come, if the most recent home price data is any indication. After more than a year of widespread bubble-like increases in home prices across the U.S., the June data revealed the first cracks in the housing bubble. Driven by a combination of affordability challenges brought on by the significant run-up in prices, and a 275 basis point (bp) increase in the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in just six months, the nascent turn in home prices could signal a shift in the direction of overall economic activity.

The Numbers Behind Your Staffing Challenges

The Numbers Behind Your Staffing Challenges

One of the most consistent themes we hear from clients is that their greatest strategic challenge is retaining and attracting talent. We’ve all heard about “the Great Resignation,” “ghosting,” shifting worker preferences post-COVID-19, even the recent study that found that millennials would rather be unemployed than unhappy at work.